零碳园区光储智能微网投资收益测算模型.xlsx
光储智能微网投资测算表 ※光伏部分 ¥ 77,120,640 单价(元/w) ※ 项目 成本 占比 光伏面积(m2) 210,000 4.5 单位功率(Kw/m2) 0.08 光伏功率(Kw) 17,138 单位组件价格(Rmb/Kw) 2,000 含逆变器 单位工程造价(Rmb/Kw) 2,500 含支架 单位造价(Rmb/Kw) 4,500 * 光伏转换衰减率 0.45% 光伏造价 ¥ 77,120,640 ※储能部分 ¥ 16,000,000 单价(元/kwh) 储能系统(Kwh) 3,200 5000 储能功率(Kw) 2,520 单位成本(Rmb/Kwh) 4,375 施工成本 2,000,000 电池衰减率 2% ※运维成本 ¥ 984,896 光伏单位运维(Rmb/Kw) ¥ 50.00 ※ 光伏小计 ¥ 856,896 储能单位运维(Rmb/Kwh) ¥ 40.00 运维成本占比 ¥ 128,000 * * ※保险成本 ¥ 195,553 保险成本占比 0.21% 占初始投资比 光伏 ¥ 161,953 储能 ¥ 33,600 * ※场地租金 ¥ - 光伏面积(m2) 210,000 单位租金(Rmb/m2) - * ※峰谷套利 ¥ 476,063 减少购电成本 * M7-8 非夏季 循环模式 谷-尖-平-峰-谷 谷-峰-平-峰-谷 ※ 尖谷价差 ¥ 0.606 峰谷价差 ¥ 0.528 ¥ 0.528 峰平价差 ¥ 0.267 ¥ 0.267 充电上限 100% 100% 放电下限 5% 5% 充电深度 95% 95% * 系统效率 88% 88% 实际放电深度 84% 84% * 每日套利 ¥ 1,304 ¥ 1,304 月度储能循环电量 182,400 182,400 * 月度余光储存电量 48,000 48,000 市网占比 74% 74% ※ 首年套利收益 ¥ 476,063 首年午峰晚纳减少上网收益 ¥ 209,802 ※税率政策 所得税率 25% 三免三减半 增值税率 13% 增值税附加税率 13% ※折旧政策 储能系统折旧年限 10 年限折旧法 光伏系统折旧期限 15 年限折旧法 残值率 5% 阳光工匠论坛(bbs.21spv.com) 光伏 / 储能 / 能源 / 电力资料下载 QQ群:940233279 微信:15961178146(微信同号) 电价信息 ※ 时段 M7-8 非夏季 谷时段 ¥ 0.295 ¥ 0.295 平时段 ¥ 0.556 ¥ 0.556 峰时段 ¥ 0.823 ¥ 0.823 尖时段 ¥ 0.901 上网电价 ¥ 0.360 M7-8 发电占比 非夏季 发电占比 07:00—10:00 平 10% 平 5% 10:00—11:00 峰 15% 峰 15% 11:00—13:00 尖 25% 峰 30% 13:00—15:00 峰 25% 峰 30% 15:00—16:00 平 10% 平 15% 16:00—17:00 尖 10% 平 5% 17:00—18:00 平 5% 平 18:00—21:00 峰 峰 21:00—23:00 平 平 23:00—07:00 谷 谷 电量信息 利用小时 1200 系统效率 99% 发电量(Kwh) 20,359,849 发电占比 M7-8发电量 3,848,011 19% 其中:平 962,003 25% 峰 1,539,205 40% 尖 1,346,804 35% 非夏季发电量 16,511,838 81% 其中:平 4,127,959 25% 峰 12,383,878 75% 光储智能微网投资测算表 M2-5发电量 6,539,342 M2-5余电上网 2,712,000 41% 午峰余电上网 M2-5充电减少余电上网 345,600 全年余光储存量 576,000 3% 午峰电晚峰纳 发电收入 年发电收入(标准) 15,499,746 其中:M7-8发电量 3,014,321 非夏季 12,485,426 峰电上网减少收入 -1,095,643 午峰电晚峰纳减少收入 -56,886 实际年发电收入 14,347,218 没储能时峰电上网 -266,688 没储能时实际收入 14,137,415 容量电价(Rmb/Kw) 48 减少最大需量节约成本 - 光伏受天气影响,很难减少最大需量 项目融资 融资比例 70% 融资期限 10 融资利率 5.4% 阳光工匠论坛(bbs.21spv.com) 光伏 / 储能 / 能源 / 电力资料下载 QQ群:940233279 微信:15961178146(微信同号) 项目测算 类别 项目名称 金额(含税) 占比 运营收入 光伏发电 ¥ 14,347,218 97% 补贴收入 0% 削峰填谷 ¥ 476,063 3% 节约容量 ¥ - 0% 合计 ¥ 14,823,280 运营成本 用电成本 0% 场地租金 ¥ - 0% 运维成本 ¥ 984,896 100% 合计 ¥ 984,896 建设成本 储能部分 ¥ 16,000,000 17% 光伏部分 ¥ 77,120,640 83% 合计 ¥ 93,120,640 项目EBITDA ¥ 13,838,384.29 项目回收周期(年) 7.65 全投资IRR 10.83% 权益回收周期(年) 7.78 权益IRR 16.21% 光储智能微网投资测算表 金额(不含税) 增值税 ¥ 12,696,653 ¥ 1,650,565 ¥ - ¥ - ¥ 421,294 ¥ 54,768 ¥ - ¥ - 14823280光伏发电 ¥ 13,117,947 ¥ 1,705,333 984896削峰填谷 ¥ - 13838384小计 ¥ - ¥ - 85%运维成本 ¥ 929,147 ¥ 55,749 ¥ 929,147 ¥ 55,749 ¥ 14,159,292 ¥ 1,840,708 ¥ 70,752,881 ¥ 6,367,759 ¥ 84,912,173 ¥ 8,208,467 14347218 12195135 2152082.7 476063 404653.55 71409.45 1482328 1259978.8 222349.2 984896 837161.6 147734.4 11762626 2075757.6 光储站收益模型测算表 0 1 2 光伏衰减率 99.00% 98.55% 发电收入 14,347,218 14,139,828 储能循环收入 476,063 466,542 容量电价减免 - - 销项税率 1,705,333 1,680,379 年总收入 13,117,947 12,925,991 场地费 0 0 折旧费用 5,826,149 5,826,149 维护及其他 984,896 984,896 保险费用 195,553 195,553 增值税附加 0 0 进项税率 8,208,467 124,376 124,376 年总成本 6,882,222 6,882,222 增值税留底税额 8,208,467 6,627,510 5,071,507 实缴增值税 0 0 毛利 6,235,725 6,043,769 所得税 净利润 6,235,725 6,043,769 净现金流 -93,120,640 13,642,831 13,425,921 累计净现金流 -93,120,640 -79,477,809 -66,051,888 NPV 3,433,955 回收期 7.65 IRR 10.83% 阳光工匠论坛(bbs.21spv.com) 光伏 / 储能 / 能源 / 电力资料下载 QQ群:940233279 微信:15961178146(微信同号) 3 4 5 6 7 98.11% 97.67% 97.23% 96.79% 96.36% 14,076,199 14,012,856 13,949,798 13,887,024 13,824,533 457,211 448,066 439,105 430,323 421,717 - - - - - 1,671,985 1,663,646 1,655,361 1,647,128 1,638,949 12,861,425 12,797,277 12,733,543 12,670,219 12,607,300 0 0 0 0 0 5,826,149 5,826,149 5,826,149 5,826,149 5,826,149 984,896 984,896 984,896 984,896 984,896 195,553 195,553 195,553 195,553 195,553 0 0 0 138,984 196,895 124,376 124,376 124,376 124,376 124,376 6,882,222 6,882,222 6,882,222 7,021,207 7,079,117 3,523,897 1,984,627 453,642 0 0 0 0 0 1,069,111 1,514,573 5,979,203 5,915,055 5,851,321 5,649,012 5,528,184 739,382 731,415 706,127 1,382,046 5,979,203 5,175,673 5,119,906 4,942,886 4,146,138 13,352,961 12,541,092 12,477,039 11,222,676 9,972,286 -52,698,928 -40,157,836 -27,680,797 -16,458,121 -6,485,835 光储站收益模型测算表 阳光工匠论坛(bbs.21spv.com) 光伏 / 储能 / 能源 / 电力资料下载 QQ群:940233279 微信:15961178146(微信同号) 8 9 10 11 12 95.92% 95.49% 95.06% 94.63% 94.21% 13,762,322 13,700,392 13,638,740 13,367,564 13,306,465 413,282 405,017 396,916 - - - - - - 1,630,822 1,622,746 1,614,722 1,537,861 1,530,832 12,544,783 12,482,662 12,420,935 11,829,702 11,775,633 0 0 0 0 0 5,826,149 5,826,149 5,826,149 4,481,016 4,481,016 984,896 984,896 984,896 984,896 984,896 195,553 195,553 195,553 195,553 195,553 195,838 194,788 193,745 183,753 182,839 124,376 124,376 124,376 124,376 124,376 7,078,060 7,077,010 7,075,967 5,720,843 5,719,929 0 0 0 0 0 1,506,446 1,498,370 1,490,346 1,413,486 1,406,457 5,466,723 5,405,652 5,344,968 6,108,860 6,055,704 1,366,681 1,351,413 1,336,242 1,527,215 1,513,926 4,100,042 4,054,239 4,008,726 4,581,645 4,541,778 9,926,191 9,880,388 9,834,874 9,062,661 9,022,794 3,440,356 13,320,744 23,155,618 32,218,279 41,241,073 光储站收益模型测算表 13 14 15 16 17 93.78% 93.36% 92.94% 92.52% 92.11% 13,245,642 13,185,093 13,124,816 13,064,810 13,005,074 - - - - - - - - - - 1,523,835 1,516,869 1,509,935 1,503,031 1,496,159 11,721,807 11,668,224 11,614,881 11,561,779 11,508,915 0 0 0 0 0 4,481,016 4,481,016 4,481,016 0 0 984,896 984,896 984,896 984,896 984,896 195,553 195,553 195,553 195,553 195,553 181,930 181,024 180,123 179,225 178,332 124,376 124,376 124,376 124,376 124,376 5,719,019 5,718,114 5,717,212 1,235,299 1,234,405 0 0 0 0 0 1,399,459 1,392,493 1,385,559 1,378,656 1,371,783 6,002,788 5,950,110 5,897,669 10,326,480 10,274,510 1,500,697 1,487,528 1,474,417 2,581,620 2,568,627 4,502,091 4,462,583 4,423,252 7,744,860 7,705,882 8,983,107 8,943,598 8,904,268 7,744,860 7,705,882 50,224,179 59,167,778 68,072,045 75,816,905 83,522,788 18 19 20 21 22 91.69% 91.28% 90.87% 90.46% 90.05% 12,945,607 12,886,408 12,827,475 12,768,807 12,710,403 - - - - - - - - - - 1,489,318 1,482,507 1,475,727 1,468,978 1,462,259 11,456,290 11,403,901 11,351,748 11,299,829 11,248,145 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 984,896 984,896 984,896 984,896 984,896 195,553 195,553 195,553 195,553 195,553 177,442 176,557 175,676 174,798 173,925 124,376 124,376 124,376 124,376 124,376 1,233,516 1,232,631 1,231,749 1,230,872 1,229,998 0 0 0 0 0 1,364,942 1,358,131 1,351,352 1,344,602 1,337,883 10,222,773 10,171,270 10,119,998 10,068,957 10,018,146 2,555,693 2,542,818 2,530,000 2,517,239 2,504,537 7,667,080 7,628,453 7,589,999 7,551,718 7,513,610 7,667,080 7,628,453 7,589,999 7,551,718 7,513,610 91,189,868 98,818,320 106,408,319 113,960,037 121,473,647 23 24 25 89.65% 89.25% 88.84% 12,652,263 12,594,383 12,536,764 - - - - - - 1,455,570 1,448,911 1,442,283 11,196,693 11,145,472 11,094,482 0 0 0 0 0 0 984,896 984,896 984,896 195,553 195,553 195,553 173,055 172,190 171,328 124,376 124,376 124,376 1,229,129 1,228,263 1,227,402 0 0 0 1,331,194 1,324,536 1,317,907 9,967,564 9,917,209 9,867,080 2,491,891 2,479,302 2,466,770 7,475,673 7,437,906 7,400,310 7,475,673 7,437,906 7,400,310 128,949,319 136,387,226 143,787,536 光储站收益模型测算表 1 发电收入 14,347,218 储能循环收入 476,063 容量电价减免 - 销项税率 1,705,333 年总收入 13,117,947 场地费 0 折旧费用 5,826,149 维护及其他 984,896 保险费用 195,553 增值税附加 0 进项税率 8,208,467 124,376 财务费用 3,343,962 年总成本 10,226,184 增值税留底税额 8,208,467 6,627,510 实缴增值税 0 毛利 2,891,763 所得税 净利润 2,891,763 净现金流 -27,936,192 3,780,424 累计净现金流 -27,936,192 -24,155,768 NPV 6,691,806 回收期 7.78 IRR 16.21% 阳光工匠论坛(bbs.21spv.com) 光伏 / 储能 / 能源 / 电力资料下载 QQ群:940233279 微信:15961178146(微信同号) 2 3 4 5 6 14,139,828 14,076,199 14,012,856 13,949,798 13,887,024 466,542 457,211 448,066 439,105 430,323 - - - - - 1,680,379 1,671,985 1,663,646 1,655,361 1,647,128 12,925,991 12,861,425 12,797,277 12,733,543 12,670,219 0 0 0 0 0 5,826,149 5,826,149 5,826,149 5,826,149 5,826,149 984,896 984,896 984,896 984,896 984,896 195,553 195,553 195,553 195,553 195,553 0 0 0 0 138,984 124,376 124,376 124,376 124,376 124,376 2,991,966 2,639,970 2,287,974 1,935,978 1,583,982 9,874,188 9,522,192 9,170,196 8,818,200 8,605,189 5,071,507 3,523,897 1,984,627 453,642 0 0 0 0 0 1,069,111 3,051,803 3,339,232 3,627,081 3,915,343 4,065,030 453,385 489,418 508,129 3,051,803 3,339,232 3,173,695 3,425,925 3,556,901 3,915,510 4,194,546 4,020,669 4,264,614 3,318,247 -20,240,258 -16,045,713 -12,025,043 -7,760,430 -4,442,183 光储站收益模型测算表 阳光工匠论坛(bbs.21spv.com) 光伏 / 储能 / 能源 / 电力资料下载 QQ群:940233279 微信:15961178146(微信同号) 7 8 9 10 11 13,824,533 13,762,322 13,700,392 13,638,740 13,367,564 421,717 413,282 405,017 396,916 - - - - - - 1,638,949 1,630,822 1,622,746 1,614,722 1,537,861 12,607,300 12,544,783 12,482,662 12,420,935 11,829,702 0 0 0 0 0 5,826,149 5,826,149 5,826,149 5,826,149 4,481,016 984,896 984,896 984,896 984,896 984,896 195,553 195,553 195,553 195,553 195,553 196,895 195,838 194,788 193,745 183,753 124,376 124,376 124,376 124,376 124,376 1,231,986 879,990 527,994 175,998 0 8,311,103 7,958,050 7,605,004 7,251,965 5,720,843 0 0 0 0 0 1,514,573 1,506,446 1,498,370 1,490,346 1,413,486 4,296,198 4,586,733 4,877,658 5,168,970 6,108,860 1,074,049 1,146,683 1,219,415 1,292,242 1,527,215 3,222,148 3,440,049 3,658,244 3,876,727 4,581,645 2,529,852 2,747,753 2,965,947 3,184,431 9,062,661 -1,912,331 835,423 3,801,370 6,985,801 16,048,461 光储站收益模型测算表 阳光工匠论坛(bbs.21spv.com) 光伏 / 储能 / 能源 / 电力资料下载 QQ群:940233279 微信:15961178146(微信同号)