HIT(20180813151515)
? SANYO Electric Co., Ltd. 2006OutlineI. IntroductionII. History of photovoltaics in JapanIII. Present R Japan)Subsidy for residential PV system (Japan)Renewable energy law (Germany)Roadmap Toward 2030 (PV2030)1954197419801992199420002004http://www.sharp.co.jp/sunvista/about/sharp.htmlhttp://www.kyocera.co.jp/prdct/solar/es/spp/index.html? SANYO Electric Co., Ltd. 2006The History of Solar CellsSingle crystalline silicon solar cell (Pearson)National project started in U.S., E.C and Japan etc (ex. Sunshine Project)Mass production of a-Si solar cells Practical reverse-flow solar power generation system (Japan)Field test (PV installation subsidysystem for public utilities; Japan)Subsidy for residential PV system (Japan)Renewable energy law (Germany)Roadmap Toward 2030 (PV2030)1954197419801992199420002004http://www.sharp.co.jp/sunvista/about/sharp.htmlhttp://www.kyocera.co.jp/prdct/solar/es/spp/index.html? SANYO Electric Co., Ltd. 200625,15154,4755,65471,73520,87715,879539 1,0651,98646,76038,2626,3522 3411.114.7 1617.82.65.2510.523.223.5NumberofHouses-50510152025 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05Fisical Year010,00020,00030,00040,00050,00060,00070,00080,000Annual Installation Figurefor Residential PV System1.6 billion RMB/yBudgetforsubsidy(billionYen)10.52.6Cumulative Installation288,000 houses1.1% in 26,000,000detached houses in JapanSource: NEF? SANYO Electric Co., Ltd. 2006[600][400] [360][320] [320] [280][250] [230] [220] [210] [205] [205][1000~]1992 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005Cost- reduction of PV Systemfor Private House in JapanThe numbers in brackets are the prices of 3kWPV systems for residences. (unit: x10 thousand JPY)SubsidyStarted400,000 RMBSupportrate1/2140,000 RMBsupport terminated? SANYO Electric Co., Ltd. 2006Silicon supply is less than the demand at least before 2008source : PHOTON International May, 2006Capacity of SupplyDemand for semiconductorDemand for PV2010 : 4GW/year( average growth : 18%)Demand for PV2010: 6GW/year( average growth : 28%)Feedstock of Silicon? SANYO Electric Co., Ltd. 2006OutlineI. IntroductionII. History of photovoltaics in JapanIII. Present R&D in JapanVI. Future Prospect –Towards 2030? SANYO Electric Co., Ltd. 2006R&D of Crystalline Silicon Solar Cells1. Dominant solar cells at present2. Higher efficiency18.5% (multicrystalline Si, 15x15cm2)3. Thinner cell180 micrometer thick? SANYO Electric Co., Ltd. 2006HIT Solar Celltransparentp/i amorphous siliconelectroden c-Sii/n amorphous silicon200 μ mProgress in conversion efficiencyof HIT solar cells HIT: Heterojunction with Intrinsic Thin-layer14.015.016.017.018.019.020.021.022.01995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005Fiscal YearConversionEfficiency(%) HIT(R&D)HIT(mass production)19.7%21.8%world ’ s highest? SANYO Electric Co., Ltd. 2006Thin Film Silicon Solar Cellsa-Si/microcrystalline Si tandem 1. Candidate of low-cost solar cell2. From a-Si to tandem structure a-Si/microcrystalline Si3. Plan to start mass-productionof tandem cells in 2007 4. R&DHigher conversion efficiency 15%(R&D)Higher throughput? SANYO Electric Co., Ltd. 2006Other New Type Solar Cells1. CIGS Solar Cells2. Concentrator3. Dye Sensitized Solar Cells4. Spheral Solar Cells? SANYO Electric Co., Ltd. 2006Accumulated PV System Installation020040060080010001200140016001996199719981999200020012002200320042005YearInstalledPVpower(MW) JPNDEUUSAAUSESPNLDITAFRACHESource: IEA/PVPS Task 1, “ Trends in Photovoltaic Applications ” , 2006Twenty Countries which Joined IEA/PVPS ( FY 2005)DEU: 1,429.0MWJPN: 1,421.9MW? SANYO Electric Co., Ltd. 20064502001 2004SHARP0501001502002503003504002000 2002 2003 2005Fisical yearProductionvolume(MW) Q-CELLSKYOCERASANYOMitsubishiSchott SolarBP SOLARSUNTECHMOTECHProgress of Production VolumeQ-Cells(Germany) andSuntech(China) havegrown rapidly.source : PVNEWS April 2006? SANYO Electric Co., Ltd. 2006OutlineI. IntroductionII. History of photovoltaics in JapanIII. Present R&D in JapanVI. Future Prospect –Towards 2030? SANYO Electric Co., Ltd. 2006Target of Introduction of New and Renewable EnergySource:METI8.9919.1 19.0239.4605101520253035402010 2030Reference Case New Energy Acceleration Case(unit: million kl)TwiceRenewable energy will be increased to10% of total energy supply? SANYO Electric Co., Ltd. 2006Target of Introductionof New and Renewable Energy in 2030(acceleration case)Source:METI2.2%0.87 million klUnused Energy & Thermal Utilization of Waste100.0%39.46 million klTotal13.6%5.37 million klBlack Liquor and Scrap Wood, etc10.7%4.23 million klThermal (Biomass)2.8%1.12 million klSolar Thermal3.0%1.20 million klBiomass9.5%3.74 million klWaste Power6.8%2.69 million klWind51.3%20.24 million klPhotovoltaicof the total REPV is half of the total RE? SANYO Electric Co., Ltd. 2006PV Roadmapsource : NEDO Overview of “ PV Roadmap Toward 2030” (PV2030) 10% of electricity demandwill be supplied by PV in 2030? SANYO Electric Co., Ltd. 2006PrimaryEnergySupply[EJ/Y]1,6001,4001,2001,00080060040020002000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050YEARWBGU : German Advisory Council on Global ChangeSource: Prof. Kurokawa, TUATGeothermalOther REsSolar heatSolar electricityWindBiomass advHydro-PWNuclear PWGasCoalOil2100WBGU’s World Energy Vision 2100 Photovoltaics will beDominant EnergySource in 2100? SANYO Electric Co., Ltd. 2006PrimaryEnergySupply[EJ/Y]1,6001,4001,2001,00080060040020002000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050YEARWBGU : German Advisory Council on Global ChangeSource: Prof. Kurokawa, TUATGeothermalOther REsSolar heatSolar electricityWindBiomass advHydro-PWNuclear PWGasCoalOil2100WBGU’s World Energy Vision 2100 Photovoltaics will beDominant EnergySource in 2100