2022年度CO2 AI碳排放调研（英）-波士顿咨询.pdf

OCTOBER 2022 Technology Is the Fast Track to Net Zero CO2 AI by BCG Carbon Emissions Survey Report 2022We must act now to limit global warming Source NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies. 2.0C range 450 ppm Today 415 ppm 1.5C range 430 ppm 1960 310 ppm CO 2 concentration in the atmosphere ppm 0 400 250 450 800 Year 0 600 200 400 1000 1200 1400 1600 1800 2000 CO2 AI BY BCG CARBON EMISSIONS SURVEY 2022Our 2022 CO2 AI by BCG Carbon Emissions Survey represents a continuation of a 2021 investigation into where businesses stand on their net-zero journey Source BCG analysis. Note Throughout this analysis, greenhouse gas emissions are measured in carbon dioxide equivalents. CO2 AI BY BCG CARBON EMISSIONS SURVEY 2022 Second edition 1,600 respondents 40 global emissions 18 countries 14 industriesOur 2022 survey confirms that the better a company measures its emissions, the more it can reduce them Source CO2 AI by BCG Carbon Emissions Survey 2022. Note We define respondents who have realized more than 50 of their emissions reduction ambition as having made a significant reduction. Partially measure internal Scope 1 and Scope 2 and external Scope 3 emissions Fully measure internal emissions Fully measure all emissions of respondents who partially measure their internal and external emissions declare a significant reduction in those emissions of respondents who measure the full scope of their internal emissions declare a significant reduction in those emissions of respondents who measure the full scope of all of their emissions declare a significant reduction in those emissions CO2 AI BY BCG CARBON EMISSIONS SURVEY 2022 Scope of measurement Ability to reduce 45 58 64Corporations recognize the benefits of decarbonization Sources CO2 AI by BCG Carbon Emissions Survey 2022; BCG analysis. More than 70 of those surveyed foresee 1 million or more in annual benefits from emissions reduction 37 foresee 100 million or more in annual benefits from emissions reduction CO2 AI BY BCG CARBON EMISSIONS SURVEY 2022The largest perceived benefits are improved reputation and lower operating costs Sources CO2 AI by BCG Carbon Emissions Survey 2022; BCG analysis. Note Percentage of respondent organizations; respondents were permitted to give more than one answer. Perceived benefits from emissions reduction RESPONDENTS CO2 AI BY BCG CARBON EMISSIONS SURVEY 2022 43 Increased revenues 54 Improved reputation 54 Lower operating costs 48 Higher valuations 40 Local taxation benefits 37 Ability to attract talentSources CO2 AI by BCG Carbon Emissions Survey 2022; BCG analysis. Measurement remains a leading roadblock, with only marginal improvements in emissions measurement since 2021 CO2 AI BY BCG CARBON EMISSIONS SURVEY 2022 RESPONDENTS Internal emissions Scope 1 and Scope 2 External emissions Scope 3 80 10 10 100 Partial measurement Comprehensive measurement 81 10 9 2021 survey results Partially measure internal Scope 1 and Scope 2 and external Scope 3 emissions Fully measure internal emissions Fully measure all emissions Total Fully To some extentOrganizations are not yet measuring their emissions accurately Source CO2 AI by BCG Carbon Emissions Survey 2022 N 1,602. Our respondents estimate a 25 to 30 average error rate in their emissions measurement, with an improvement of approximately 5 pp over 2021 CO2 AI BY BCG CARBON EMISSIONS SURVEY 2022 25–30Sources CO2 AI by BCG Carbon Emissions Survey 2022; CDP Global Supply Chain Report 2021; BCG analysis. Note pp percentage points. Scope 3 is still challenging it accounts for over 90 of emissions but is a priority for only 12 of organizations CO2 AI BY BCG CARBON EMISSIONS SURVEY 2022 Respondents Reduction priority Emissions Companies that measure the relevant scope and have defined targets 57 8 88 12 92 50 29 Scope 2 Scope 1 Scope 3 –7 pp –21 pp Internal emissions Scope 1 and Scope 2 External emissions Scope 3The CO2 AI by BCG maturity index measures organizational maturity through four general stages of emissions measurement and reduction Sources CO2 AI by BCG Carbon Emissions Survey 2022; BCG analysis. Note An organization’s maturity score is determined by the average of various dimension-specific scores based on survey answers about emissions measurement exhaustiveness, accuracy, automation, and frequency and reduction concern, target settings, equipment, and actual reduction. Across all organizations, the average dimension-specific score is 5.0. CO2 AI BY BCG CARBON EMISSIONS SURVEY 2022 Stage 1 – Lagging Poor measurement exhaustiveness and accuracy No targets, or targets set to a limited scope No obvious reduction Maturity score ≤2.5 out of 10 Stage 2 – Emerging Limited measurement exhaustiveness and accuracy Targets are not systematically set Limited reduction Maturity score 2.5 to 5 out of 10 Stage 3 – Competent Good measurement exhaustiveness and accuracy Targets set systematically, at least for internal emissions Significant reduction Maturity score 5 to 7.5 out of 10 Stage 4 – Expert Comprehensive and accurate measurement Targets set systematically for all emissions Significant reduction Maturity score 7.5 out of 10The overall CO2 AI by BCG maturity index score for all sectors has improved marginally since 2021, from 4.7 to 5.0 Sources CO2 AI by BCG Carbon Emissions Survey 2022; BCG analysis. Note Financial institutions are the most mature sector in terms of reducing emissions in line with their ambition. Because of rounding, not all bar chart totals add up to 100. Industrial goods and financial institutions are at the forefront of carbon maturity Public sector and nonprofit organizations are the least mature, consistent with their nonprioritization of emissions reduction CO2 AI BY BCG CARBON EMISSIONS SURVEY 2022 Proportion of organizations 7 9 13 7 13 30 24 28 38 38 38 37 22 51 45 37 35 44 43 43 21 19 16 13 11 7 Consumer Industrial goods Financial institutions Energy 4 Insurance 4 Health care Public sector and nonprofit Front-runners Followers Laggards Maturity score 2021 2022 5.1 5.5 4.9 5.2 4.3 4.9 5.2 5.0 4.0 4.7 3.6 4.2 3.4 3.9 Stage 1 lagging Stage 2 emerging Stage 3 competent Stage 4 expertWhat would accelerate emissions reduction Sources CO2 AI by BCG Carbon Emissions Survey 2022; BCG analysis. CO2 AI BY BCG CARBON EMISSIONS SURVEY 2022 Policy incentives e.g., regulation, tax incentives “Receive more state support to invest in renewable energy, such as tax incentives for the reduction of CO2 emissions.” “Precise emissions standards and regulations, with well-defined rewards and penalties.” Leadership support “Full support from senior leadership and a willingness to allocate more budget. Immediate decisions and concrete actions, to help us move quickly from declarations to actions. No more delays or extensions.” Adoption of digital solutions “The breakthrough enabler would be the use of digital and AI technologies to accelerate carbon-emissions measurement and reduction by simulating new inputs and estimating the potential damage.”Organizations with automated digital solutions for emissions measurement are Sources CO2 AI by BCG Carbon Emissions Survey 2022; BCG analysis. CO2 AI BY BCG CARBON EMISSIONS SURVEY 2022 More likely to measure emissions comprehensively More likely to reduce emissions in line with their ambitions 2.2x 1.9xCO2 AI by BCG is a sustainability-as-a-service platform to help companies master their end-to-end net-zero journey Source BCG analysis. CO2 AI BY BCG CARBON EMISSIONS SURVEY 2022 Measure and report Reduce emissions with your organization Collaborate with your ecosystem and shape sustainability within your industry developed in partnership with CDP Develop and report a single, accurate view of emissions Identify initiatives and project impact Reduce footprint and track progress Collaborate throughout the value chain DecideSources CO2 AI by BCG Carbon Emissions Survey 2022; BCG analysis. Note Africa includes Egypt, Nigeria, and South Africa; Asia-Pacific includes Australia, China, India, and Japan; Europe includes France, Germany, Italy, Spain, and the UK; Latin America includes Argentina, Brazil, and Chile; the Middle East includes the UAE; North America includes Canada and the US. Because of rounding, not all bar chart totals add up to 100. Respondents are distributed across geographies, industries, and organization sizes CO2 AI BY BCG CARBON EMISSIONS SURVEY 2022 EMPLOYEES ; NUMBER Organization size 13 10 100,001 28 1,000–2,500 17 2,501–5,000 5,001–10,000 50,001–100,000 10,001–20,000 20,001–50,000 11 10 178 11 455 155 205 277 173 159 Geography RESPONDENT REGION ; NUMBER 32 12 27 Africa Asia-Pacific Europe Latin America 12 4 Middle East 13 North America 195 426 512 190 71 208 INDUSTRY OF OPERATIONS ; NUMBER Industry Energy Public sector and nonprofit Consumer retail Consumer other Consumer packaged goods Financial institutions Health care Other Industrial goods automotive Industrial goods chemicals Industrial goods materials and processes Industrial goods other Insurance Technology, media, and telecommunications 92 3 109 5 7 10 109 12 66 7 4 10 4 86 7 15 6 8 48 128 116 165 63 166 23 245 186 1